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   Think of a country as a large corporation, with its fiscal policies acting as its budget and monetary policy determined by the company’s financial strategy of controlling interest rates and the money supply. Therefore, both will have direct effects on the company's stock price, i.e. the entire financial market. Governmental spending fuels growth in GDP. Interest rates set by a central bank determine the cost of borrowing money. Fiscal and monetary policies create the basis of how investors value currencies and equities. Both government and central bank policies drive a shift in capital flows when either the government increases its spending or when the central bank lowers interest rates. This has an immediate effect on the prices of assets, movement in markets and in both financial and commodity markets. What Is Fiscal Policy and How Does It Move Markets? Governments utilize fiscal policy in the economy by the means of spending and taxing to control and influence econo...

  Cotton futures aren't just about fabric and textiles. They're a window into global economic health, climate patterns, and supply chain resilience. When you trade cotton futures, you're essentially betting on how well farmers in Texas can manage droughts, whether Brazilian currency will strengthen, and if shipping costs from India will spike. Think of cotton as a commodity that touches everything. A drought in the US South doesn't just affect farmers. It ripples through clothing manufacturers in Bangladesh, retail chains in Europe, and ultimately your portfolio. During 2020-2021, exactly this happened. Severe drought conditions reduced US cotton production by nearly 15%, and ICE Cotton #2 futures jumped more than 15% in just a few months. Traders who saw it coming made significant profits. Those who didn't felt the pain. Understanding Cotton Futures Contracts Let's take a look at specifically what you're actually trading. ICE Cotton #2 futures are the ...

  Coffee is a commodity that is frequently traded, and has an unpredictable price. As a commodity, coffee is used primarily to hedge against risk and to speculate on the futures market (i.e., trading in the expectation of earning a profit). Trading in coffee is done through futures contracts, which are contracts in which you lock in the price that you will pay for coffee at a future date. The price of coffee fluctuates greatly, and in some weeks, it may rise by 8%. However, the following week, it may fall just as quickly. The fluctuations in coffee prices are not based on random chance but are primarily based on many different interrelated factors, such as the weather, disruption in shipping, and economic conditions. Many traders will find themselves blindsided by price changes that may occur because of any of these interrelated factors. Understanding Coffee Futures: Core Concepts and Pricing Mechanics Standard coffee futures contracts are created when a buyer agrees to purcha...

  Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is one of the hottest names in technology investing today; SMCI's revenues and successes in designing and manufacturing high-performance server systems, storage systems, and Artificial Intelligence infrastructure have led to tremendous advancements across Cloud Computing platforms and various Artificial Intelligence Applications. As such, when SMCI provides its quarterly earnings report, investors all over the world take note of their results, as they are a clear representation of where the AI Technology Hardware Industry is heading. Company earnings are quite similar to a student's report card; just as school grades reflect how well a person performed in their classes, so too do earnings indicate how effectively a company executed its overall business strategies. When reviewing SMCI's financial data, investors should look at the company's revenue growth, gross profits, and whether or not SMCI was able to achieve Wall Street's expecta...

   Stripe is one of the top private companies worldwide due to its actions since 2010. Stripe has altered how businesses can accept payment methods via the internet. Stripe started with a basic way of processing credit cards, but has grown into a complete financial operating system that supports many small businesses, companies and charities throughout the world. The core of Stripe's business model is based on transaction fees. Each time a user pays for a product or service through Stripe they charge a small fee (on average 2.9% + $0.30 per transaction in the United States). Although this might not seem like much, Stripe processes hundreds of billions of dollars In transactions each year across 47 countries, so those fees become very significant quickly. Stripe also has investment products (including lending) to help business owners access additional capital, fraud detection products to help keep businesses safe, and infrastructure that allows people to build custom soft...

  The OPCE deflator (official personal consumption expenditures) calculates inflation by measuring price fluctuations of goods/services which are typically purchased by the average consumer's household- Therefore, it serves as a financial thermometer, telling investors whether the economy is expanding or contracting. While the Consumer Price Index (CPI) uses a standardised bundle of items to calculate inflation, the OPCE deflator allows for changes in the items that may be reflected in consumer spending patterns. For example, if beef prices rise, but consumers purchase chicken instead, the OPCE deflator captures this switch in purchases, whereas the CPI would not. How the OPCE Deflator Is Calculated You can calculate OPCE Deflation by taking the total dollar amount of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and dividing it by the Real-PCE and multiplying that by 100. This way you can see how much the cost of goods and services has increased in price from what consumers are act...

  Simply stated, oversold is a condition in the market where prices have dropped too quickly or too much, in which case an asset may be considered temporarily undervalued. An analogy might be to envision a spring. If you push down a spring too quickly or too far, it will most likely bounce back. The same applies to stocks, indices, and CFDs. Buyers can face excessive selling pressure forcing prices down below their relative fundamentals, creating an opportunity for traders to capitalize on. The concept of market psychology also weighs in heavily. Panic selling and herd mentality often push prices down faster than what any reasonable fundamental analysis might suggest. One investor sees one or two red numbers and sells, causing additional panic in other investors. Before long, everybody is rushing to the exits causing a price plunge. The emotional aspect creates the oversold condition in the market. Core Definition: What "Oversold" Really Means From a technical perspectiv...

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  If you've ever questioned if a stock was worth its price tag, you're already weighing out the options like a trader.  The Price-to-Earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is one of the most basic ways to look at this question.  Think of it this way: when you go into a store to buy a laptop, you look at the price compared to what you’re getting, right?  Storage capacity, processing speed, battery life.  The P/E ratio does the same thing with a stock.  It shows you how much you are paying for every dollar of the company’s earnings. Here’s the short and simple: stock price is what you are paying, and earnings is what the company is actually ripping in.  The P/E ratio is your price to value meter.  In other words, when Apple trades at a P/E of 28, it means the market is willing to pay $28 for every dollar of Apple’s annual earnings.  That may sound expensive, but the market is pricing that stock, or earning, based on some confidence of future growth in th...

  Say you're considering purchasing shares of two different candy shops. Candy store A has a share price of $20 per share and its shares trade at a P/E of 20. Candy store B is $30 and it trades at a P/E of 30. At a glance, candy store A looks like a better investment but perhaps candy store B is growing its profits per share at 30% a year while candy store A is only growing at 10% per year. Now you might conclude that candy store B's stock is actually the better deal after all.  This is where most investors make their biggest mistake. A P/E Ratio tells you how much you're paying for each dollar of earnings, however, it does not speak to growth at all. A company with a P/E of 15 could have an overpriced share price if its profits are flat, while a company with a P/E of 40 could have an underpriced stock if it is growing rapidly. The PEG ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) addresses this issue by including growth rates. The formula is straightforward; you divide the P/E ra...

  Passive investing is an extremely straightforward method. Rather than attempt to beat the market by buying and selling nonstop, you are trying to track the market over time. Here’s a helpful way to think about it: If the market goes up 7-10% every year (the average annual return for the S&P 500 market index), then your investment goes up at that same rate as a passive investor. There are three major advantages to passive investing.  First, it is significantly less expensive than active trading. You aren’t paying management fees or transaction fees with each buy and sell, which can add up quickly. Second, it is less risky and produces better returns for a longer period than active trading because you are not gambling time or money on individual stock picking or timing the market. Third, you benefit from built-in diversification by virtue of investing in an index fund or ETFs given these generally invest in dozens to hundreds of companies. What is Passive Investing At...

  If you enter an investment forum, you can be assured to hear two very different stories about penny stocks. Some traders will adamantly tell you how they turned $500 into $5,000 in a matter of weeks. Others will share how they have lost everything "trying to chase a dream that never materialized." So what are penny stocks, and what is with the extreme reaction. Penny stocks are precisely what they reference: shares that are low priced, typically trading under $5 in the U.S. or under €1 in Europe. This does not mean you will see companies that you are familiar with such as Apple or Microsoft. Penny stocks come from smaller, often new companies that are traded on less regulated markets, such as the OTC (Over-the-Counter) markets in the U.S., Canada's TSX Venture Exchange, or Europe's AIM (Alternative Investment Market). Key Characteristics That Define Penny Stocks The most distinguishing aspect is quite clear: a low price per share. However, by just looking at th...

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  You're at the store, witnessing the price of avocados rise and fall. One week they are $2 each, and another month, they are $4, etc. You could try to determine when the price would be its lowest, but you simply purchase two avocados every week, regardless of price. Eventually, you will have acquired an average price that is reasonable without the stress of determining the best time to buy. Cost averaging, or dollar-cost averaging, is a kind of investment strategy that involves consistently investing a consistent amount of money into stocks, indexes, or any kind of asset, at regular intervals and time intervals. It does not matter what the price is. It does not matter if the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. You simply invest $500 every month (or $100 every week, or whatever amount works for you) like you are clocking in for your job. Understanding the Core Concept of Cost Averaging So what happened? After three months, the stock price ended at $40 (lower than it was at y...